Course Grade and GPA Prediction

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Lee and Kizilcec (2020) [pdf]

  • Model predicting college course grade of median or above
  • Out-of-the-box random forest model violates demographic parity and equality of opportunity for URM (underrepresented minority: American Indian, Black, Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Hispanic, and Multicultural) than for non-URM students (White and Asian)

Yu et al. (2020) [pdf]

  • Models predicting undergraduate course grades and average GPA
  • Students who are international, first-generation, or from low-income households were inaccurately predicted to get lower course grade and average GPA than their peers
  • Fairness of models improved with the inclusion of clickstream and survey data

Riazy et al. (2020) [pdf]

  • Models predicting course outcome of students in a virtual learning environment (VLE)
  • Students with self-declared disability were predicted to pass the course with 16-23 percentage points in favor from the training and test set